Good morning, everyone.
All was well in the great state of Tennessee last night. Nonetheless, a spirit of disappointment pervaded the evening as the national Red Wave the GOP thought would magically materialize failed to do so.
People are calling it the Red Trickle, which feels appropriate. As of press time, RealClearPolitics predicts the GOP will lose a seat in the Senate, giving Democrats the edge there, but gain a four-seat advantage in the House—effectively killing Biden’s agenda and ending the January 6th show trial.
Florida doubled down on its gains, witnessing Miami-Dade County turn red for the first time in two decades. And, as we sit here, Kari Lake and Blake Masters look to be within striking distance in Arizona. So, it was not all bad news, but compared to expectations, a definitive letdown. Hope deferred makes the heart sick.
But overall, the blunted edge of Republicans’ attempt to chart a different course seems ominous. As left-wing fat-ass Jeet Heer put it, "Votes are still be[ing] counted but I think it's clear that the American people want more crime, less police funding, wave of undocumented immigrants to replace the white population, unchecked inflation, and more wokeism. And more pronouns, many more pronouns."
I didn’t put that there to inflame you, but to say that maybe he’s right—especially if we’re talking about younger voters. There was a 28% margin in favor of Democrats for midterm voters in the 18-29 age bracket. That’s a shockingly wide margin, but should we be surprised?
The Republican stance against abortion can partially explain the gap. Abortion is part of the state religion and, as we witnessed in the August primaries, it’s more than enough to turn people out. Additionally, promising student loan forgiveness also appears to be an effective way to get the votes of people who have student loan debt. Marry these two policy proposals to the Green New Deal, Save the World-type rhetoric which lands on fertile ground tilled by the constant drumbeat of an impending “climate apocalypse” and you can craft a pretty toxic brew.
The world is different today. More so than it’s ever been, maybe. People growing up in our highly interconnected, digital world perceive reality differently than those of us who weren’t raised by the internet. They’re more pliable. They’re more feminine. They have less sex, have lower testosterone levels, are less physically present, and generally exercise less agency in the physical world. But most importantly, they are godless.
If they do have God, it’s some amalgamation of liberal “be kind” politics and a gnostic understanding of human nature, married to watered-down spiritualism typically expressed through yoga and meditation and welded onto an entirely fabricated, apocalyptic vision of the future.
People, especially those under 30, hold to their quasi-religious beliefs so strongly—however faulty, they do provide the illusion of stability in an increasingly fractured world—that they will vote for the party that expresses them, Democrats, on purely theological grounds even as material conditions deteriorate. You could say the same thing about the GOP as regards Christianity, but the state religion is definitively not Christianity.
Nobel prize-winning economist Friedrich Hayek is quoted as saying that those born after 1914 (the eve of World War I) will never understand freedom. We might amend that statement to apply to younger millennials and Generation Z: those born after 1996 will never understand reality.
After the fall of the USSR, the people of Russia abandoned Communism with surprising speed. Despite the totalitarian hold the Party had on people’s lives until 1990, it could not colonize their minds– and so, when the wall fell, citizens quickly moved on. The primary difference between American liberalism and Russian communism is that liberalism has not colonized people’s lives as much as it has their minds. Hence the religious fervor around it. You can still do what you want (mostly), but think the wrong thing and you’re cooked.
Consider, for example, that the parents of Sandy Hook victims were awarded nearly $1 billion from Alex Jones—who did not commit a violent crime—for spreading misinformation, but the victims of Dylann Roof—who killed nine people in a black church during bible study—were only awarded $88 million. The message here is loud and clear: thought crimes are more costly and dangerous than violent ones.
Democrats seem to understand that you need a combination of vision and policy better than Republicans, who mostly rely on their voters' antipathy for Democrats. It’s not enough to wave freedom and liberty abstractly about to draw people to your side. You have to provide them with a positive vision of the future and back that up with actionable policy ideas.
The silver lining in all this is that the red/blue migration is likely to continue. Though not perfect, the South continues to stand as a bastion against much of the excess.
Also, be sure to check out our podcast. Available wherever you get your podcasts.
Thanks for reading.
✹ MIDDLE TENNESSEE ELECTION RESULTS
Though this year’s election prognoses were grossly inaccurate, Tennessee was an outlier and saw a significant Republican turnout that was accurately predicted for this year’s midterms. Republican incumbent Bill Lee accepted victory, committing to serving as governor for four more years, and candidate Andy Ogles picked up a seat in the fifth district, adding to the total number of Republicans in the House.
Next year, eight Republicans and one Democrat will represent Tennessee in the House of Representatives. In the state House, two newly-elected Republicans will assume office, giving the GOP a stronger majority. The composition of the state Senate, however, remains the same: the 113th General Assembly will include 27 Republican and 6 Democratic state senators.
The Pamphleteer has been monitoring the fallout of miscast ballots in Davidson County closely and expects litigation to be filed regarding the mishap. Unfortunately, there’s a chance the blunder may invite recalls for races that were decided in May and August of this year. The latest information released by the Davidson County Election Commission shows a margin of error that could fall anywhere between 438-938 ballots with improper district data. In other words, certain smaller districts whose primaries and general election victories fell within this margin of error could be impacted, giving grounds for candidates to come forward with challenges.
But back to last night’s results: the margins of victory in Davidson County were significant in almost every race. Here are the latest numbers, as reported by the Tennessee Coordinator of Election Mark Goins, for the Governor’s race, the constitutional amendments, and Middle Tennessee’s US House, state Senate and state House races.
GOVERNOR OF TENNESSEE
• Governor Bill Lee, incumbent (R) 65%
• Jason Brantley Martin (D) 33%
• Amendment 1 affirmed by 70%
• Amendment 2 affirmed by 75%
• Amendment 3 affirmed by 80%
• Amendment 4 affirmed by 63%
US CONGRESSIONAL RACES
• Andy Ogles (R) 56%
• Heidi Campbell (D) 42%
• John Rose, incumbent (R) 66%
• Randal Cooper (D) 34%
• Mark E. Green, incumbent (R) 60%
• Odessa Kelly (D) 38%
• Steven J. Hooper (I) 2%
STATE SENATE RACES
• Dawn White, incumbent (R) 65%
• Kelly Northcutt (D) 35%
• Paul Bailey, incumbent unopposed (R) 100%
• Mark Pody, incumbent unopposed (R) 100%
• Charlane Oliver (D) 83%
• Pime Hernandez (R) 17%
• Jeff Yarbro, incumbent (D) 77%
• Rueben Dockery (I) 23%
• Kerry Roberts, unopposed (R) 100%
• Ed Jackson (R) 79%
• Ronnie Henley (I) 21%
• Jack Johnson, unopposed (R) 100%
STATE HOUSE RACES
• Bo Mitchell, incumbent unopposed (D) 100%
• Bill Beck, incumbent unopposed (D) 100%
• Justin Jones, unopposed (D) 100%
• Jason L. Powell, incumbent (D) 66%
• Dia Hart (R) 34%
• Vincent Dixie, incumbent unopposed (D) 100%
• John Ray Clemmons, incumbent unopposed (D) 100%
• Bob Freeman, incumbent unopposed (D) 100%
• Susan M. Lynn, incumbent unopposed (R) 100%
• Harold M. Love, Jr., incumbent unopposed (D) 100%
• Caleb Hemmer (D) 52%
• Michelle Foreman (R) 48%
• Darren Jernigan, incumbent (D) 60%
• Christopher Huff (R) 40%
• Gino Bulso (R) 66%
• Steven M. Cervantes (D) 34%
• Jake McCalmon (R) 69%
• Kisha Davis (D) 31%
• Sam Whitson, incumbent unopposed (R) 100%
- Nashville area sees home sales plummet 30% (Post) The Nashville area saw 2,824 home closings in October — a 30 percent decrease from the mark of the same month in 2021 — with residential properties requiring more time to sell than previously had been the case.
- Vandy assistant to ‘step back’ after defending Kanye West (Post) Forty-eight hours after coaching in Vanderbilt’s 38-27 loss to South Carolina, Commodores’ defensive backs coach Dan Jackson has “stepped back” from his coaching duties with the football program.
- See What’s Now & Next At The Second Avenue Gateway Mixed Use Development In Nashville (Now Next)
- Portman Holdings plans retail along the greenway near First Horizon Park (NBJ)
- BMS issues proposal for Fairgrounds Speedway renovation (Post)
- Building housing long-time pizzeria listed for sale (Post)
- For-sale Five Points building sees asking price increase (Post)
- Berry Hill property sells for $1.1M (Post)
- Riverfront property near Old Hickory listed for $3.5M (Post)
𝓧 CHART OF THE DAY: MINED METALS
⚔ MISSIVES ⚔
- ⌨️ Meta is laying off 13% of its staff, or more than 11,000 employees, CEO Mark Zuckerberg said in a letter to employees Wednesday.
- 💉 A Monday ruling from the New York State Supreme Court will compel public employers in New York City to both rehire anyone they let go because of the city’s vaccine mandate and provide those terminated workers with back pay for any time they may not have been allowed to work as a result of the mandate
- 🪙 The cryptocurrency world was rocked on Tuesday as one of the largest exchanges for digital currencies, seemingly on the verge of collapse, was bailed out by a major rival in a deal that underlined the perils of the industry’s volatility.
- ❌ On the first day of COP27, the presidents and ministers from Palau, Nigeria, Costa Rica, the UK, France, and the US have affirmed their support for the 30x30 target which commits countries to a global effort to achieve the protection of at least 30 per cent of the planet's land and ocean by 2030 to help curb biodiversity loss and climate change.
- 🇮🇳 India will continue buying Russian oil because it benefits the country, India's foreign minister said on Tuesday after meeting his Russian counterpart for the fifth time this year, adding that the two countries were expanding their trade ties.
THINGS TO DO
View our full event calendar here.
🍺 The Pamphleteer hosts Bar Hours on the third Thursday of every month (the next meeting is this Thursday, November 17th) at Lucky's 3 Star Bar from 6-8 PM.
👘 The Weaving Splendor exhibit at the Frist presents rarely seen Chinese, Indian, Japanese, Persian, and Turkish textiles drawn from the renowned collection of The Nelson-Atkins Museum of Art. Running until December 31st.
👨🏻🌾 Check out the Pamphleteer farmer's market guide.
🎧 Listen to the Pamphleteer's Picks on Spotify, the playlist of our favorite music in town each week.
🍻 Walker Bros 3rd Anniversary Jam @ Rosemary, 5p, Free, Info
+ Craft kombucha company – Walker Bros – celebrates 3 years
🎻 Bluegrass Night @ The American Legion Post 82, 7p, Free, Info
💥Year of October & Titans of Siren @ Cobra, 8p, $6, Info
+ Ear plug warning
🍸 Electric relaxation @ Bar Sovereign, 9p, Free, Info
ON THE RADAR
🎻 Beethoven's Pastoral Symphony @ Schermerhorn, 11/17-19, $26, Info
🕺 Drugdealer @ Third Man Records, (11/27), $25, Info
🎸 Jason Bonham's Led Zeppelin Experience, (11/30), $37.50, Info
🤣 Louis C.K. @ Ryman, (12/14), $35, Info
🎸 Widespread Panic @ Bridgestone, (12/30-31), Info
🎻 Sierra Farrell's NYE Circus Spectacular @ Brooklyn Bowl, (12/31), $35+, Info
🎸 Tedeschi Trucks Band @ Ryman, 1/23-25, 8p, $49.50, Info
🎻 Billy Strings @ Bridgestone, 1/24-25, 8p, $TBA Info
🎻 Billy Strings @ Ryman, 1/26, 8p, Info
+ Only elligable if you purchased a ticket to one of his previous nights' Bridgestone shows
🎙 Weyes Blood @ Brooklyn Bowl, 2/22, 8p $23+, Info
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Words of Wisdom
"When we get piled upon one another in large cities, as in Europe, we shall become corrupt as in Europe, and go to eating one another as they do there."